Southend United vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
43.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
SOU
4 - 0
OXF
51%
26%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2004 |
SOU
4 - 1
STF
55%
23%
23%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
SOU
2 - 1
NOR
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
STF
1 - 1
SOU
48%
26%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2004 |
SCU
3 - 2
SOU
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
LUT
5 - 1
WRE
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
LUT
4 - 0
BRA
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
HUL
3 - 0
LUT
41%
25%
34%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2004 |
WAL
2 - 0
LUT
36%
25%
39%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
LUT
1 - 2
HUR
59%
23%
19%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |