Southend United vs Gillingham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2007 |
SOU
2 - 2
DAG
52%
23%
25%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
BHA
3 - 2
SOU
29%
26%
45%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2007 |
SOU
2 - 0
WAT
29%
25%
46%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
SOU
1 - 0
MIL
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
LEE
4 - 1
SOU
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
GIL
2 - 1
WAL
39%
28%
33%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
LUT
3 - 1
GIL
69%
18%
13%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
GIL
0 - 2
TRA
41%
27%
31%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2007 |
WAT
3 - 0
GIL
76%
16%
8%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
CHE
1 - 0
GIL
49%
25%
27%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |