EFL Cup 1/32
Global 0-6
Southend United vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
49.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
MIL
3 - 1
SOU
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1997 |
SOU
3 - 1
BRE
42%
27%
31%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1997 |
WYC
4 - 1
SOU
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
WAL
3 - 1
SOU
51%
25%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1997 |
SOU
3 - 1
CAR
59%
22%
20%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
DER
3 - 1
EVE
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
DER
1 - 0
BAR
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
TOT
1 - 0
DER
61%
23%
17%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
BBU
1 - 0
DER
69%
20%
12%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1997 |
DER
1 - 3
ARS
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |