Southend United vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
33.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1994 |
LUT
1 - 1
SOU
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1994 |
SOU
0 - 1
SUN
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1994 |
WAT
3 - 0
SOU
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 Apr. 1994 |
BOL
0 - 2
SOU
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 1994 |
BIR
3 - 1
SOU
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1994 |
DER
2 - 1
OXF
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1994 |
DER
0 - 2
NTT
36%
27%
38%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1994 |
GRI
1 - 1
DER
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1994 |
DER
1 - 1
NOT
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1994 |
DER
2 - 0
CHA
66%
20%
13%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |