Southend United vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
SOU
1 - 2
TRA
58%
24%
19%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2007 |
BRO
1 - 1
SOU
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
POR
1 - 2
SOU
31%
26%
43%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2007 |
BPO
2 - 1
SOU
60%
21%
19%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
SOU
3 - 2
DON
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
CRE
1 - 4
BOU
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2007 |
TRA
1 - 1
CRE
50%
25%
26%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
OLD
3 - 2
CRE
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
CRE
0 - 0
MIL
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
DON
2 - 0
CRE
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |