Southend United vs Crawley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
43.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
POR
2 - 3
SOU
52%
25%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
SOU
0 - 1
BUR
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
CRA
3 - 0
SOU
67%
19%
13%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
STA
1 - 2
SOU
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
SOU
1 - 1
LEY
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
CHE
3 - 1
CRA
17%
26%
58%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
CRY
2 - 0
CRA
43%
27%
31%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
GUL
1 - 3
CRA
34%
29%
37%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
CRA
3 - 0
SOU
67%
19%
13%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
CRA
2 - 0
MAC
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |