Southend United vs Colchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
30.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2005 |
SCU
1 - 0
SOU
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2005 |
SOU
0 - 3
SOU
20%
24%
56%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
SOU
1 - 1
HUR
40%
27%
34%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
WAL
2 - 2
SOU
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2005 |
BRA
0 - 2
SOU
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
COL
0 - 0
OLD
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2005 |
COL
0 - 2
CAR
35%
26%
39%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
MKD
1 - 1
COL
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
COL
1 - 0
BAR
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2005 |
COL
1 - 2
SWA
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |