Southend United vs Chester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 2
SOU
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
SOU
1 - 1
BCF
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
NEW
1 - 0
SOU
42%
26%
31%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
SOU
1 - 1
EXE
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
LUT
2 - 0
SOU
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
EAS
3 - 2
CHE
63%
20%
16%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
STO
2 - 4
CHE
56%
22%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
CHE
2 - 1
ALF
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
DOV
2 - 0
CHE
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
CHE
1 - 0
ALD
39%
27%
35%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |