Southend United vs Cheltenham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2004 |
SOU
1 - 2
GUL
34%
27%
39%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
ROC
1 - 1
SOU
47%
27%
27%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
SOU
0 - 2
YEO
35%
25%
40%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2004 |
SOU
2 - 2
HUL
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
NOR
2 - 2
SOU
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2004 |
CHE
1 - 1
HUR
41%
27%
33%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
CUM
1 - 1
CHE
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
CHE
1 - 3
GUL
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
YOR
0 - 2
CHE
27%
28%
45%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
CHE
2 - 1
SCU
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |