Southend United vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
19.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
STE
4 - 2
SOU
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 2
STA
58%
25%
17%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
SOU
2 - 0
CHE
59%
25%
17%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
STF
1 - 1
SOU
46%
27%
28%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 0
YOR
51%
27%
21%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
CUM
2 - 3
WYC
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
LUT
1 - 0
CUM
71%
19%
11%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
CUM
1 - 2
STF
33%
28%
40%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
TRA
0 - 2
CUM
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
CUM
2 - 1
MAN
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |