EFL Cup 1/64
Global 4-2
Southend United vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
19.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
SOU
1 - 0
BUR
44%
27%
30%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1997 |
CAR
1 - 1
SOU
53%
23%
23%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
SOU
1 - 1
CUM
45%
27%
29%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
GRI
4 - 0
SOU
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 1997 |
SOU
1 - 2
HUR
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
MAN
1 - 2
CAR
53%
25%
22%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1997 |
CAR
1 - 1
SOU
53%
23%
23%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1997 |
DAR
2 - 1
CAR
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1997 |
CAR
2 - 0
CUM
39%
28%
33%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
BAR
3 - 1
CAR
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |