Southend United vs Aldershot Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
22.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
HER
2 - 3
SOU
27%
26%
47%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 2
STA
60%
24%
16%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2012 |
SOU
0 - 0
CRA
34%
28%
38%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
BUR
0 - 2
SOU
32%
25%
43%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 0
SOU
32%
26%
42%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
ALD
1 - 0
BRA
48%
26%
25%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
CRA
2 - 2
ALD
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
NOR
3 - 1
ALD
38%
26%
36%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
GUL
1 - 0
ALD
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
ALD
1 - 0
MOR
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |