Southend United vs Aldershot Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
26.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
STO
2 - 1
SOU
29%
25%
47%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
SOU
4 - 0
HER
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
CRE
1 - 0
SOU
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
LIN
2 - 1
SOU
33%
27%
40%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
SOU
2 - 2
GIL
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
ALD
1 - 1
STA
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2011 |
ALD
1 - 0
BAR
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
ALD
1 - 0
STO
69%
20%
11%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
CHE
1 - 2
ALD
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
ALD
1 - 0
GUL
33%
27%
40%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |