Southend United vs AFC Wimbledon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
SOU
1 - 0
WYC
47%
26%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
NOR
3 - 3
SOU
45%
25%
31%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
OXF
2 - 0
SOU
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
SOU
0 - 1
STA
61%
23%
17%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
POS
4 - 0
SOU
65%
18%
16%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
AFC
2 - 2
DAG
49%
25%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
BRA
5 - 1
AFC
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
BUR
6 - 2
AFC
35%
26%
40%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
AFC
1 - 0
CHE
40%
25%
35%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
STE
3 - 1
AFC
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |