Southampton Sub 21 vs Newcastle Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
3º
2º
23
4º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
SOU
3 - 0
DCO
86%
10%
4%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2022 |
SUN
1 - 3
SOU
29%
24%
48%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SOU
8 - 1
MID
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
NWC
3 - 2
SOU
29%
24%
47%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
NEW
2 - 1
SOU
63%
19%
18%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2023 |
NWC
0 - 2
AVI
42%
24%
34%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2022 |
LUS
4 - 2
NWC
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
NWC
1 - 1
SUN
54%
23%
24%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
NWC
3 - 2
SOU
29%
24%
47%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
LIN
2 - 0
NWC
78%
14%
8%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | -1 |