Southampton U21 vs Crawley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
50.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
COL
1 - 2
SOU
71%
17%
12%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 0
SOU
73%
18%
10%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
CUM
3 - 1
CRA
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
CRA
0 - 0
STA
29%
28%
43%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
CHE
2 - 1
CRA
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 1
CRA
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 2
CRA
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +2 |