Southampton vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
28.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1987 |
SOU
2 - 2
BOU
90%
7%
3%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1987 |
SOU
0 - 4
EVE
30%
28%
42%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1987 |
NEW
2 - 1
SOU
52%
24%
25%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1987 |
BOU
1 - 0
SOU
13%
20%
67%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1987 |
TOT
2 - 1
SOU
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1987 |
WAT
8 - 0
DAR
92%
6%
2%
|
83 | 48 | 35 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1987 |
COV
1 - 0
WAT
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1987 |
WAT
0 - 3
CHL
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1987 |
DAR
0 - 3
WAT
10%
16%
74%
|
83 | 48 | 35 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1987 |
WAT
0 - 0
OPA
74%
17%
10%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -1 |