Southampton vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1986 |
CHA
1 - 3
SOU
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1986 |
SOU
2 - 1
ASV
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1986 |
SOU
0 - 4
ARS
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1986 |
SHW
3 - 1
SOU
59%
22%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1986 |
SOU
4 - 1
MUD
46%
27%
28%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1986 |
WAT
5 - 1
LEI
71%
17%
12%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1986 |
NEW
2 - 2
WAT
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1986 |
WAT
4 - 1
CHA
71%
17%
12%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1986 |
CHL
0 - 0
WAT
47%
24%
29%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1986 |
WAT
2 - 3
WHU
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |