Southampton vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1983 |
WHU
0 - 1
SOU
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1983 |
SOU
2 - 1
BIR
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1983 |
TOT
0 - 0
SOU
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1983 |
SOU
3 - 1
STO
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1983 |
LEI
2 - 1
SOU
38%
28%
34%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1983 |
WAT
3 - 2
ASV
45%
25%
31%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1983 |
ARS
3 - 1
WAT
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1983 |
WAT
3 - 2
NTT
43%
25%
32%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1983 |
SPA
4 - 0
WAT
69%
17%
14%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1983 |
WOL
0 - 5
WAT
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |