Southampton vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1985 |
CHL
0 - 2
SOU
48%
25%
27%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1985 |
SOU
1 - 2
BAR
86%
10%
4%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1985 |
SOU
4 - 3
WBA
71%
18%
11%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1985 |
NTT
2 - 0
SOU
52%
25%
23%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1985 |
QPR
0 - 4
SOU
51%
25%
24%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1985 |
STO
0 - 0
WBA
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1985 |
STO
0 - 1
TOT
26%
26%
49%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1985 |
LIV
2 - 0
STO
80%
14%
6%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1985 |
SUN
1 - 0
STO
62%
23%
15%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1985 |
LEI
0 - 0
STO
73%
17%
10%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |