Southampton vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1982 |
TOT
3 - 2
SOU
64%
20%
16%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1982 |
SOU
0 - 0
WBA
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1982 |
SUN
2 - 0
SOU
36%
27%
37%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1982 |
NOT
1 - 1
SOU
33%
28%
39%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1982 |
SOU
3 - 1
BIR
75%
15%
10%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1982 |
STO
0 - 0
BHA
53%
25%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1982 |
BIR
2 - 1
STO
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1982 |
STO
1 - 5
LIV
31%
27%
42%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1982 |
SWA
3 - 0
STO
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1982 |
STO
0 - 2
TOT
36%
26%
37%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |