Southampton vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
18.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1968 |
SOU
2 - 1
WOL
57%
21%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1968 |
BUR
3 - 1
SOU
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1968 |
SUN
1 - 0
SOU
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1968 |
SOU
2 - 0
LIV
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 1968 |
SOU
1 - 3
LEE
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1968 |
STO
1 - 0
LEI
46%
24%
30%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1968 |
LIV
2 - 1
STO
74%
17%
10%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1968 |
LEE
2 - 0
STO
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1968 |
STO
0 - 2
WHU
46%
24%
31%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 1968 |
STO
2 - 1
SUN
56%
23%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |