Europa League 1/16
Global 2-4
Southampton vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1981 |
SOU
3 - 1
NOT
79%
13%
8%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1981 |
BIR
4 - 0
SOU
48%
25%
28%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1981 |
SOU
4 - 3
IPS
46%
24%
30%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
SOU
1 - 1
LIM
96%
3%
1%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
COV
4 - 2
SOU
52%
24%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1981 |
SCP
3 - 3
BOA
74%
17%
9%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
RBD
0 - 7
SCP
10%
17%
73%
|
85 | 12 | 73 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
ESP
0 - 1
SCP
23%
28%
49%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1981 |
SCP
6 - 0
PEN
83%
11%
6%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
VST
0 - 1
SCP
22%
27%
51%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |