Southampton vs Shrewsbury Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2010 |
SOU
4 - 0
DAG
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
NOT
1 - 3
SOU
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
SOU
2 - 1
OLD
69%
20%
11%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
HUR
2 - 0
SOU
42%
25%
33%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
SOU
2 - 0
TRA
71%
19%
10%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Shrewsbury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2010 |
CRE
1 - 2
STF
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
STF
2 - 1
BAR
61%
23%
17%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
CHE
4 - 3
STF
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
STF
2 - 0
LIN
59%
24%
18%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 0
STF
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |