Southampton vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1996 |
COV
1 - 1
SOU
44%
26%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1995 |
SOU
0 - 0
TOT
39%
26%
36%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1995 |
SHW
2 - 2
SOU
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1995 |
WHU
2 - 1
SOU
47%
26%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1995 |
SOU
0 - 0
ARS
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1996 |
OPA
2 - 3
CRY
36%
27%
36%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1995 |
WOL
2 - 2
OPA
55%
24%
20%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1995 |
CHA
2 - 1
OPA
54%
24%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1995 |
OPA
1 - 0
NOR
31%
26%
43%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1995 |
OPA
4 - 0
LUT
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |