Southampton vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1988 |
QPR
3 - 0
SOU
51%
25%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1987 |
SOU
2 - 1
TOT
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1987 |
LUT
2 - 2
SOU
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1987 |
SOU
2 - 2
LIV
27%
28%
45%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1987 |
WHU
2 - 1
SOU
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1988 |
OPA
1 - 1
ARS
26%
28%
46%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1987 |
OPA
1 - 1
WAT
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1987 |
CHA
2 - 1
OPA
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1987 |
OPA
1 - 2
MUD
26%
28%
47%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1987 |
NEW
1 - 1
OPA
74%
16%
10%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |