Southampton vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
26.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
REA
1 - 2
SOU
70%
18%
12%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
SOU
1 - 2
WOL
34%
28%
38%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
SOU
0 - 1
BRI
45%
28%
27%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
PNE
2 - 3
SOU
48%
26%
27%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
SOU
1 - 1
COV
47%
27%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
PLY
2 - 1
CAR
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
COV
0 - 1
PLY
48%
27%
26%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
PLY
2 - 2
CHA
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
SHE
2 - 0
PLY
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
SHW
0 - 1
PLY
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |