Southampton vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
24.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
BRO
1 - 0
SOU
29%
24%
47%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2008 |
STO
3 - 2
SOU
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
SOU
2 - 3
QPR
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
CRY
1 - 1
SOU
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2008 |
SOU
0 - 1
NOR
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2008 |
PLY
3 - 0
BAR
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
LEI
0 - 1
PLY
43%
28%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
PLY
0 - 1
HUL
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2008 |
IPS
0 - 0
PLY
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
OPA
2 - 1
PLY
70%
20%
11%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |