EFL Cup 1/32
Global 6-1
Southampton vs Peterborough United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
7.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
SOU
0 - 1
TOT
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
LIV
2 - 1
SOU
71%
19%
11%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1996 |
SOU
2 - 2
NTT
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
WHU
2 - 1
SOU
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1996 |
LEI
2 - 1
SOU
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Peterborough United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
POS
2 - 2
YOR
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1996 |
POS
3 - 3
MIL
39%
28%
33%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
WRE
1 - 1
POS
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1996 |
POS
2 - 0
MIL
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
BOU
1 - 2
POS
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |