Southampton vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
35.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1992 |
SOU
2 - 1
QPR
52%
26%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1992 |
EVE
0 - 1
SOU
52%
25%
24%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1992 |
SOU
2 - 1
LUT
58%
23%
20%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1992 |
NOR
2 - 1
SOU
49%
26%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
MAC
0 - 1
SOU
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1992 |
NTT
0 - 2
SHW
65%
20%
15%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1992 |
WIM
3 - 0
NTT
38%
27%
35%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1992 |
ARS
3 - 3
NTT
56%
23%
21%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1992 |
NTT
2 - 0
MAC
62%
21%
17%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1992 |
NTT
1 - 0
MUD
45%
26%
30%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |