Southampton vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
32.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1988 |
SHW
2 - 1
SOU
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1988 |
LUT
2 - 1
SOU
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1988 |
SOU
0 - 0
NOR
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1988 |
MUD
0 - 2
SOU
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1988 |
REA
0 - 1
SOU
13%
20%
68%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1988 |
NTT
3 - 2
CHL
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1988 |
LEY
1 - 2
NTT
17%
23%
60%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1988 |
WAT
0 - 0
NTT
42%
26%
32%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1988 |
NTT
2 - 2
CHA
73%
17%
9%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1988 |
HAL
0 - 4
NTT
3%
13%
85%
|
85 | 45 | 40 | 0 |