Southampton vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1985 |
NEW
2 - 1
SOU
45%
26%
30%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1985 |
SOU
3 - 0
ARS
52%
24%
25%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1985 |
SOU
2 - 3
EVE
37%
27%
36%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1985 |
SOU
1 - 3
ARS
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1985 |
SHW
2 - 1
SOU
54%
24%
22%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1985 |
NTT
2 - 0
LUT
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1985 |
SHW
2 - 1
NTT
53%
23%
23%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1985 |
NTT
1 - 1
OXF
66%
20%
13%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1985 |
QPR
3 - 1
NTT
51%
25%
24%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1985 |
EVE
1 - 1
NTT
69%
19%
13%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |