Southampton vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1984 |
SOU
2 - 2
WOL
85%
10%
5%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1984 |
WBA
0 - 0
SOU
44%
27%
29%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1984 |
SOU
1 - 0
CHL
74%
16%
10%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1984 |
STO
1 - 3
SOU
41%
27%
32%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1984 |
SOU
1 - 0
TOT
52%
23%
25%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1984 |
NTT
1 - 1
SUN
67%
21%
12%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1984 |
NTT
0 - 2
LIV
43%
27%
30%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1984 |
NEW
1 - 1
NTT
37%
26%
37%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1984 |
WBA
4 - 1
NTT
37%
27%
36%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1984 |
NTT
1 - 1
STO
71%
18%
11%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |