Southampton vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1967 |
STO
3 - 2
SOU
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1967 |
SOU
1 - 0
LIV
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1967 |
SOU
1 - 1
LEE
51%
25%
25%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1967 |
COV
2 - 1
SOU
51%
22%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1967 |
CHL
2 - 6
SOU
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1967 |
NTT
3 - 0
CHL
55%
23%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1967 |
EIN
0 - 1
NTT
66%
18%
16%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1967 |
WBA
2 - 1
NTT
59%
22%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1967 |
NTT
4 - 0
NEW
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1967 |
NTT
0 - 1
LIV
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |