Southampton vs Norwich City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1991 |
SOU
2 - 2
SCA
94%
5%
1%
|
80 | 38 | 42 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1991 |
OLD
1 - 1
SOU
44%
24%
32%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1991 |
SOU
0 - 4
ARS
32%
28%
41%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1991 |
SCA
1 - 3
SOU
6%
12%
82%
|
80 | 38 | 42 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1991 |
SHW
2 - 0
SOU
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1991 |
NOR
3 - 0
CHA
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1991 |
WIM
3 - 1
NOR
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1991 |
NOR
2 - 2
LEE
46%
27%
27%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1991 |
CHA
0 - 2
NOR
29%
25%
46%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1991 |
NOT
2 - 2
NOR
42%
27%
30%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |