Southampton vs Norwich City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
12.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1983 |
WAT
2 - 0
SOU
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1983 |
SOU
1 - 1
COV
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1983 |
TOT
1 - 0
SOU
65%
21%
14%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 1983 |
ASV
2 - 0
SOU
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1983 |
IPS
2 - 1
SOU
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1983 |
NOR
2 - 1
COV
45%
23%
32%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1983 |
COV
2 - 2
NOR
69%
17%
14%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1983 |
NOR
0 - 1
EVE
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1983 |
MAC
4 - 1
NOR
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1983 |
NOR
2 - 1
SWA
56%
21%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |