Southampton vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
SOU
1 - 1
MIL
50%
26%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
NTT
3 - 1
SOU
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
SOU
2 - 2
BUR
32%
28%
40%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
SHW
2 - 0
SOU
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
SOU
1 - 0
CRY
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
NOR
0 - 0
MAC
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
LEE
3 - 0
NOR
71%
19%
11%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2009 |
NOR
0 - 1
MKD
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
NOR
2 - 1
HER
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
NOR
3 - 3
SCU
36%
26%
38%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |