Southampton vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
32.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1995 |
SOU
1 - 1
LEE
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
EVE
2 - 0
SOU
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1995 |
SOU
3 - 4
NTT
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1995 |
SOU
2 - 2
LEI
75%
16%
9%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1995 |
MUD
2 - 1
SOU
69%
19%
11%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1995 |
NEW
1 - 0
MID
79%
15%
7%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1995 |
SHW
0 - 2
NEW
47%
25%
28%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1995 |
BOL
1 - 3
NEW
26%
27%
48%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 1995 |
NEW
3 - 0
COV
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1995 |
NEW
3 - 2
CRY
69%
19%
13%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |