Southampton vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1993 |
COV
1 - 1
SOU
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1993 |
STF
2 - 0
SOU
20%
23%
58%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1993 |
SOU
3 - 3
SHE
45%
27%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1993 |
ARS
1 - 0
SOU
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1993 |
SOU
1 - 0
STF
84%
11%
5%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1993 |
NEW
1 - 2
QPR
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1993 |
NOT
1 - 7
NEW
31%
24%
45%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1993 |
ASV
0 - 2
NEW
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1993 |
NEW
2 - 0
WHU
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1993 |
NEW
4 - 1
NOT
80%
13%
8%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |