Southampton vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1989 |
COV
2 - 1
SOU
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1989 |
SOU
1 - 3
ARS
33%
27%
40%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1989 |
CHA
2 - 2
SOU
45%
26%
30%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1989 |
SOU
0 - 2
TOT
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1989 |
SHW
1 - 1
SOU
54%
24%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1989 |
NEW
1 - 3
SHW
57%
23%
19%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1989 |
NOR
0 - 2
NEW
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1989 |
NEW
2 - 0
EVE
32%
29%
39%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1989 |
NTT
1 - 1
NEW
73%
18%
9%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1989 |
NEW
1 - 2
QPR
51%
26%
24%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |