Southampton vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1974 |
IPS
7 - 0
SOU
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1974 |
SOU
2 - 2
QPR
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1974 |
LEE
2 - 1
SOU
74%
17%
10%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1974 |
WOL
2 - 1
SOU
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1973 |
SOU
1 - 1
COV
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1974 |
DER
1 - 0
NEW
60%
22%
18%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1974 |
NEW
1 - 1
WHU
62%
22%
16%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1974 |
WOL
1 - 0
NEW
56%
23%
20%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1974 |
ARS
0 - 1
NEW
50%
27%
24%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1973 |
NEW
1 - 0
SHE
58%
23%
19%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |