Southampton vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
20.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1967 |
WOL
2 - 0
SOU
57%
20%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1967 |
SOU
3 - 2
SUN
62%
19%
19%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1967 |
MUD
3 - 2
SOU
73%
16%
11%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1967 |
SOU
1 - 2
TOT
42%
24%
34%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1967 |
SHW
2 - 0
SOU
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1967 |
NEW
2 - 2
MUD
25%
26%
49%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1967 |
TOT
1 - 1
NEW
76%
15%
10%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1967 |
NEW
4 - 0
SHW
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1967 |
BUR
2 - 0
NEW
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1967 |
NEW
1 - 0
WHU
38%
24%
38%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |