Southampton vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
14.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1992 |
SOU
0 - 1
MUD
32%
28%
39%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1992 |
ASV
1 - 1
SOU
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1992 |
QPR
3 - 1
SOU
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1992 |
SOU
0 - 0
TOT
48%
27%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1992 |
ARS
5 - 1
SOU
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1992 |
MID
4 - 1
LEE
25%
28%
48%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1992 |
MID
2 - 0
MAC
24%
28%
48%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 1992 |
COV
2 - 1
MID
57%
26%
17%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1992 |
WOL
1 - 2
MID
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1992 |
MID
2 - 0
GRI
62%
23%
15%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |