Southampton vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
LIM
0 - 3
SOU
4%
16%
80%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1981 |
MAC
1 - 1
SOU
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1981 |
SOU
1 - 0
EVE
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1981 |
SOU
4 - 1
WOL
66%
19%
15%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
NTT
2 - 1
SOU
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1981 |
MID
2 - 1
BIR
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1981 |
BHA
2 - 0
MID
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1981 |
LIV
1 - 1
MID
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
MID
1 - 3
TOT
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1981 |
MID
1 - 2
LIV
29%
29%
43%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | +1 |