Southampton vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
13.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1981 |
SOU
3 - 0
EVE
68%
19%
14%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1981 |
STO
1 - 2
SOU
43%
27%
30%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1981 |
SOU
1 - 0
MUD
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1981 |
LIV
2 - 0
SOU
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1981 |
BHA
2 - 0
SOU
40%
27%
33%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1981 |
NOR
2 - 0
MID
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1981 |
WOL
3 - 1
MID
51%
25%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1981 |
NTT
1 - 0
MID
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1981 |
ARS
2 - 2
MID
57%
24%
19%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1981 |
MID
3 - 1
STO
61%
23%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |