EFL Cup 1/32
Global 5-1
Southampton vs Mansfield Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
4.7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
SOU
2 - 0
NEW
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
LEI
1 - 0
SOU
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2000 |
CHA
1 - 1
SOU
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
SOU
3 - 3
LIV
35%
27%
39%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2000 |
SOU
1 - 2
COV
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mansfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
CHE
4 - 0
MAN
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2000 |
MAN
1 - 1
HUL
54%
25%
21%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
MAN
5 - 1
HAL
57%
23%
19%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2000 |
WRE
0 - 3
MAN
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
EXE
0 - 0
MAN
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |