Southampton vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
55.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
CRY
0 - 1
SOU
43%
26%
30%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
SOU
0 - 2
WAT
58%
24%
18%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
HUR
0 - 0
SOU
24%
27%
48%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
SOU
0 - 2
WOL
65%
22%
13%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
SOU
3 - 2
WHU
38%
25%
36%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
MUD
4 - 1
BUR
81%
15%
4%
|
90 | 62 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
MUD
4 - 0
EVE
52%
25%
22%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
MUD
3 - 0
BAS
55%
24%
21%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
STO
2 - 2
MUD
25%
26%
50%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
MUD
2 - 0
LEI
57%
24%
19%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |