Southampton vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
54.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
ARS
1 - 0
SOU
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
SOU
0 - 3
MAC
20%
22%
58%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2014 |
ASV
1 - 1
SOU
33%
26%
41%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
SOU
2 - 0
LEI
66%
20%
15%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
HUL
0 - 1
SOU
32%
26%
42%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2014 |
MUD
2 - 1
STO
78%
15%
7%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
MUD
3 - 0
HUL
80%
14%
6%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
ARS
1 - 2
MUD
42%
24%
35%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
MUD
1 - 0
CRY
81%
13%
5%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 0
MUD
57%
21%
22%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |