Southampton vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
35.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1979 |
SOU
1 - 0
MAC
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1979 |
SOU
1 - 1
LIV
29%
29%
42%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1979 |
COV
4 - 0
SOU
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1979 |
SOU
3 - 3
TOT
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1979 |
CHL
1 - 2
SOU
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1979 |
MUD
0 - 0
DER
66%
20%
14%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1979 |
MUD
1 - 0
NOR
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1979 |
TOT
1 - 1
MUD
37%
25%
38%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1979 |
NTT
1 - 1
MUD
62%
21%
18%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1979 |
MUD
0 - 0
COV
64%
21%
16%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |