Southampton vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
29.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1932 |
LEE
1 - 0
SOU
73%
15%
12%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1932 |
SOU
1 - 1
BRI
73%
16%
11%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1932 |
PLY
1 - 2
SOU
65%
17%
18%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1932 |
SOU
3 - 1
NOT
62%
20%
19%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1932 |
BAR
3 - 3
SOU
52%
23%
25%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1932 |
BRI
2 - 1
MUD
36%
27%
38%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1932 |
MUD
1 - 0
BRA
60%
19%
20%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1932 |
MIL
1 - 1
MUD
45%
21%
34%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1932 |
MUD
2 - 0
POR
66%
18%
16%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1932 |
BCF
0 - 0
MUD
57%
19%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |